Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.92 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultTunisia U23 to win62% · @1.46
Double chanceTunisia U23 or draw83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.53
Tunisia U23 vs Gabon U23 preview and prediction
The match
Tunisia U23 host Gabon U23 in the CAF U23 Cup Of Nations on Thursday 12 November, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Tunisia U23's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Benin U23 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Tunisia U23 and 0.6 for Gabon U23. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 56% likely.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.92 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Tunisia U23 1–0 Gabon U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tunisia U2362%fair 1.62 · @1.46
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.94
Gabon U2317%fair 5.89 · @5.88
2.13Expected goals
1.52Tunisia U23 xG
0.61Gabon U23 xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Tunisia U23 1.5 – 0.6 Gabon U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tunisia U23 to win
62%
1.62
1.46
Double chance
Tunisia U23 or draw
83%
1.20
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.84
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.92 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.31
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tunisia U23 / FT Tunisia U23
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
18%
5.53
–
Form
Tunisia U23 – last 6
LWLDWL
5 Oct
@ Benin U23
0–1
L
29 Sep
vs Benin U23
2–0
W
13 Jun
@ Portugal U20
0–2
L
10 Jun
@ Colombia U19
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ China PR U20
3–0
W
5 Jun
@ Saudi Arabia U21
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gabon U23
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tunisia U23 and Gabon U23.
What is the prediction for Tunisia U23 vs Gabon U23?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Tunisia U23 vs Gabon U23?
On our numbers Tunisia U23 have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gabon U23 17%.
How many goals will there be in Tunisia U23 vs Gabon U23?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tunisia U23 vs Gabon U23?
Our predicted score is Tunisia U23 1–0 Gabon U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Tunisia U23 vs Gabon U23?
Tunisia U23 vs Gabon U23 (CAF U23 Cup Of Nations) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
