Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c. prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Libertad Asuncion to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chanceLibertad Asuncion or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.55
Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c. preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Paraguay sees Libertad Asuncion take on Independiente F.b.c. on Tuesday 27 October, kicking off at 23:30 (WAT) at La Arboleda.
Form guide
Libertad Asuncion's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Sportivo Luqueno 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Independiente F.b.c.'s last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Tacuary 2–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Libertad Asuncion and 0.7 for Independiente F.b.c.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 45%.
Our pre-match pick was Libertad Asuncion to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Independiente F.b.c.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Libertad Asuncion65%fair 1.53 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.50
Independiente F.b.c.12%fair 8.28 · @6.50
2.70Expected goals
1.96Libertad Asuncion xG
0.73Independiente F.b.c. xG
45%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 2.0 – 0.7 Independiente F.b.c. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad Asuncion to win✓
65%
1.53
1.36
Double chance
Libertad Asuncion or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Libertad Asuncion ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.55
–
Form
Libertad Asuncion – last 6
WLDWLD
23 Oct
vs Sportivo Luqueno
1–0
W
18 Oct
@ Sportivo Trinidense
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Club Guarani
2–2
D
5 Oct
@ Deportivo Recoleta
2–1
W
28 Sep
vs Olimpia
0–1
L
23 Sep
@ Fernando De La Mora
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Independiente F.b.c. – last 6
LWWDLW
20 Oct
@ Tacuary
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Atlético Tembetary
3–0
W
6 Oct
@ Benjamín Aceval
3–2
W
30 Sep
vs Nacional Asuncion
2–2
D
25 Sep
vs Sportivo Carapeguá
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ 12 de Junio VH
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad Asuncion and Independiente F.b.c..
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?
Our pick is Libertad Asuncion to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?
On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Independiente F.b.c. 12%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?
Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–0 Independiente F.b.c., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c.?
Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente F.b.c. (Copa Paraguay) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at La Arboleda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
