Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan preview and prediction
The match
The Botola Pro sees Difaa EL Jadida take on Moghreb Tetouan on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT). Difaa EL Jadida are 11th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Moghreb Tetouan sit 15th on 3 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Difaa EL Jadida's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Amal Tiznit 5–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Moghreb Tetouan's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with FUS Rabat 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Moghreb Tetouan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Difaa EL Jadida and 1.0 for Moghreb Tetouan. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 52% and both teams to score at 54%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Difaa EL Jadida 1–1 Moghreb Tetouan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Difaa EL Jadida59%fair 1.70 · @1.64
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.69
Moghreb Tetouan21%fair 4.80 · @4.38
2.91Expected goals
1.89Difaa EL Jadida xG
1.02Moghreb Tetouan xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Difaa EL Jadida 1.9 – 1.0 Moghreb Tetouan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Difaa EL Jadida to win✓
59%
1.70
1.64
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.86
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.26
Half-time result
Difaa EL Jadida ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Difaa EL Jadida / FT Difaa EL Jadida✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.67
–
Form
Difaa EL Jadida – last 6
WLLLDD
10 Oct
@ Amal Tiznit
5–2
W
3 Oct
vs Wydad AC
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs CODM Meknès
2–6
L
5 Jul
vs Renaissance Berkane
1–3
L
2 Jul
@ Yacoub El Mansour
2–2
D
28 Jun
vs Kawkab Marrakech
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Moghreb Tetouan – last 6
DDDWWD
9 Oct
vs FUS Rabat
0–0
D
2 Oct
@ Ittihad Tanger
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Renaissance Berkane
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Racing de Casablanca
2–0
W
20 Jun
vs Amal Tiznit
3–1
W
13 Jun
@ Chabab Ben Guerir
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Difaa EL Jadida and Moghreb Tetouan.
What is the prediction for Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?
On our numbers Difaa EL Jadida have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Moghreb Tetouan 21%.
How many goals will there be in Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?
Our predicted score is Difaa EL Jadida 1–1 Moghreb Tetouan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan?
Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan (Botola Pro) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
