Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Spartak Varna or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.62 – our chance 68% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Varna to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceSpartak Varna or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.62
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗6% · fair 15.96
Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna preview and prediction
The match
Spartak Varna travel to face Etar Veliko Tarnovo in the Cup on Monday 19 October (17:00 WAT).
Form guide
Etar Veliko Tarnovo's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Fratria 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Spartak Varna's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Botev Vratsa 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 1.9 for Etar Veliko Tarnovo and 3.1 for Spartak Varna. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.62 – 68% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Spartak Varna or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1–3 Spartak Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Etar Veliko Tarnovo19%fair 5.36 · @3.40
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.30
Spartak Varna57%fair 1.76 · @1.91
5.00Expected goals
1.93Etar Veliko Tarnovo xG
3.07Spartak Varna xG
68%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–36%
1–26%
2–36%
2–26%
1–45%
2–45%
From our goals model: Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1.9 – 3.1 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Varna to win✓
57%
1.76
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Spartak Varna or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.62 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Spartak Varna ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Varna / FT Spartak Varna✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
6%
15.96
–
Form
Etar Veliko Tarnovo – last 6
WWLLWL
9 Oct
vs Fratria
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Chernomorets Balchik
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
2–4
L
14 Sep
@ Hebar 1918
1–4
L
6 Sep
vs CSKA Sofia II
1–0
W
3 Sep
@ Vihren
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Spartak Varna – last 6
WLDDDL
10 Oct
@ Botev Vratsa
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Slavia Sofia
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs CSKA Sofia
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Ludogorets
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Levski Sofia
0–6
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Etar Veliko Tarnovo and Spartak Varna.
What is the prediction for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Spartak Varna or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Etar Veliko Tarnovo have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Spartak Varna 57%.
How many goals will there be in Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna?
Our predicted score is Etar Veliko Tarnovo 1–3 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Spartak Varna (Cup) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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