Malmö FF W host Ajax W in the UEFA Europa Cup Women on Wednesday 11 November, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Eleda Stadion.
Form guide
Malmö FF W's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Piteå W 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ajax W's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Twente W 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Malmö FF W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 October 2026, finished Ajax W 1–2 Malmö FF W.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.8 for Malmö FF W and 1.1 for Ajax W. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Malmö FF W 49%, draw 23%, Ajax W 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.54.
Prediction
Our prediction: Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.39. Predicted score: Malmö FF W 1–1 Ajax W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malmö FF W49%fair 2.02 · @2.09
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.44
Ajax W28%fair 3.62 · @2.84
2.91Expected goals
1.80Malmö FF W xG
1.11Ajax W xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Malmö FF W 1.8 – 1.1 Ajax W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Malmö FF W
Ajax W
Attack vs UEFA Europa Cup Women average
+20%
+24%
Goals conceded vs average
-35%
-10%
Our expected goals here
1.69
0.90
Our own ratings from every UEFA Europa Cup Women result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Malmö FF W vs Ajax W?
On our numbers Malmö FF W have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ajax W 28%.
How many goals will there be in Malmö FF W vs Ajax W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malmö FF W vs Ajax W?
Our predicted score is Malmö FF W 1–1 Ajax W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Malmö FF W vs Ajax W?
Malmö FF W vs Ajax W (UEFA Europa Cup Women) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Eleda Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Czarni Sosnowiec W
Brann W
Brøndby W
Rosenborg W
Eintracht Frankfurt W
PSVEindhoven W
Hammarby W
Spartak Myjava W
Torreense W
Sparta Praha W