Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Mostaganem to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMostaganem to win ✓41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.25
Koléa vs Mostaganem preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees Koléa take on Mostaganem on Tuesday 13 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Koléa are 14th with 6 points from 8 games (in the bottom three), while Mostaganem sit 4th on 15 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Koléa's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Blida 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Mostaganem's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to GC Mascara 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Koléa and 1.1 for Mostaganem. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Koléa 34%, draw 25%, Mostaganem 41%.
Value angle: Mostaganem to win at 2.90 – 41% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Koléa 0–1 Mostaganem. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Koléa34%fair 2.98 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
Mostaganem41%fair 2.44 · @2.90
2.10Expected goals
0.97Koléa xG
1.12Mostaganem xG
42%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Koléa 1.0 – 1.1 Mostaganem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mostaganem to win✓
41%
2.44
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mostaganem / FT Mostaganem✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.25
–
Form
Koléa – last 6
LWLLLL
9 Oct
@ Blida
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs El Bayadh
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs RC Kouba
0–3
L
8 May
vs Hussein Dey
1–3
L
1 May
@ WA Tlemcen
0–2
L
10 Apr
@ MC Saida
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mostaganem – last 6
LDWLDL
9 Oct
vs GC Mascara
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Sidi Benali
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Hussein Dey
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Blida
1–2
L
5 Jun
vs El Bayadh
2–2
D
19 May
@ Ben Aknoun
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Koléa and Mostaganem.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Koléa vs Mostaganem?
On our numbers Koléa have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mostaganem 41%.
How many goals will there be in Koléa vs Mostaganem?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Koléa vs Mostaganem?
Our predicted score is Koléa 0–1 Mostaganem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Koléa vs Mostaganem?
Koléa vs Mostaganem (Ligue 2) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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