Sestao River vs Salamanca UDS prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Sestao River to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.30 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSestao River to win ✓62% · @1.70
Double chanceSestao River or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54% · @2.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Sestao River vs Salamanca UDS preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Federacion sees Sestao River take on Salamanca UDS on Wednesday 14 October, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Sestao River's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Gimnástica Torrelavega 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Salamanca UDS's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat SS Reyes 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.4 for Sestao River and 1.1 for Salamanca UDS. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sestao River 62%, draw 24%, Salamanca UDS 13%.
Safer route: Sestao River or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.30 – 54% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sestao River to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sestao River 2–1 Salamanca UDS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sestao River62%fair 1.61 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.20
Salamanca UDS13%fair 7.46 · @4.75
3.50Expected goals
2.38Sestao River xG
1.12Salamanca UDS xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sestao River 2.4 – 1.1 Salamanca UDS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sestao River to win✓
62%
1.61
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Sestao River or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
2.30 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Sestao River ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sestao River / FT Sestao River✓
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Form
Sestao River – last 6
DWWWLW
10 Oct
vs Gimnástica Torrelavega
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Gernika
2–1
W
30 Sep
vs Terrassa
4–1
W
26 Sep
vs Atlético Astorga
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Compostela
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Comillas
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Salamanca UDS – last 6
WLWWLD
10 Oct
vs SS Reyes
3–2
W
4 Oct
@ Atlético Tordesillas
0–2
L
1 Oct
@ UD Santa Marta
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs RSD Alcalá
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Conquense
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Derio
3–3
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sestao River and Salamanca UDS.
What is the prediction for Sestao River vs Salamanca UDS?
Our pick is Sestao River to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sestao River vs Salamanca UDS?
On our numbers Sestao River have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Salamanca UDS 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sestao River vs Salamanca UDS?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sestao River vs Salamanca UDS?
Our predicted score is Sestao River 2–1 Salamanca UDS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Sestao River vs Salamanca UDS?
Sestao River vs Salamanca UDS (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.