Plaza Colonia travel to face La Luz in the Segunda División on Sunday 11 October (20:00 WAT). La Luz are 9th with 34 points from 25 games (in the bottom half), while Plaza Colonia sit 4th on 38 points (in the top four).
Form guide
La Luz's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat CA River Plate 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Plaza Colonia's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Juventud 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
La Luz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 July 2026, finished Plaza Colonia 1–0 La Luz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for La Luz and 1.1 for Plaza Colonia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: La Luz 35%, draw 26%, Plaza Colonia 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: La Luz 1–1 Plaza Colonia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
La Luz35%fair 2.89 · @2.70
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.80
Plaza Colonia39%fair 2.54 · @2.60
2.07Expected goals
0.99La Luz xG
1.08Plaza Colonia xG
52%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: La Luz 1.0 – 1.1 Plaza Colonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for La Luz vs Plaza Colonia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win La Luz vs Plaza Colonia?
On our numbers La Luz have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Plaza Colonia 39%.
How many goals will there be in La Luz vs Plaza Colonia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Luz vs Plaza Colonia?
Our predicted score is La Luz 1–1 Plaza Colonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is La Luz vs Plaza Colonia?
La Luz vs Plaza Colonia (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
