Value bet: Colón to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultColón to win ✓50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.70
Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón preview and prediction
The match
Uruguay Montevideo host Colón in the Segunda División on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Uruguay Montevideo are 14th with 22 points from 25 games (in the bottom three), while Colón sit 3rd on 39 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Uruguay Montevideo's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Fenix 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Colón's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Oriental 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 July 2026, finished Colón 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Uruguay Montevideo and 1.3 for Colón. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Colón to win at 2.15 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.90, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Colón. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uruguay Montevideo26%fair 3.83 · @3.40
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.80
Colón50%fair 2.00 · @2.15
2.19Expected goals
0.86Uruguay Montevideo xG
1.33Colón xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–011%
0–210%
1–010%
1–29%
From our goals model: Uruguay Montevideo 0.9 – 1.3 Colón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón?
On our numbers Uruguay Montevideo have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Colón 50%.
How many goals will there be in Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón?
Our predicted score is Uruguay Montevideo 1–1 Colón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón?
Uruguay Montevideo vs Colón (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
