Value bet: A'Ali to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEast Riffa to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.03
East Riffa vs A'Ali preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees East Riffa take on A'Ali on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). East Riffa are 6th with 8 points from 7 games (in the top half), while A'Ali sit 9th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
East Riffa's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Al Najma 3–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
A'Ali's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Malkiya 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for East Riffa and 1.1 for A'Ali. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: East Riffa 43%, draw 24%, A'Ali 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: A'Ali to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.88, so there is value in it. Predicted score: East Riffa 1–1 A'Ali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
East Riffa43%fair 2.32 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.80
A'Ali33%fair 3.03 · @3.40
2.33Expected goals
1.27East Riffa xG
1.06A'Ali xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: East Riffa 1.3 – 1.1 A'Ali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
East Riffa to win✓
43%
2.32
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT East Riffa / FT East Riffa✓
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.03
–
Form
East Riffa – last 3
WDL
11 Sep
@ Al Najma
3–2
W
2 Sep
vs Sitra
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Al-Hidd
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
A'Ali – last 6
WLDWLL
11 Sep
vs Malkiya
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Khalidiya
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Manama
1–1
D
4 May
@ Al-Hidd
1–0
W
27 Apr
vs Sitra
0–2
L
17 Apr
@ Al Riffa
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between East Riffa and A'Ali.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win East Riffa vs A'Ali?
On our numbers East Riffa have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and A'Ali 33%.
How many goals will there be in East Riffa vs A'Ali?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for East Riffa vs A'Ali?
Our predicted score is East Riffa 1–1 A'Ali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is East Riffa vs A'Ali?
East Riffa vs A'Ali (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
