Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Liverpool Montevideo to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✓62% · @1.60
Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.04
Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Uruguay sees Liverpool Montevideo take on Cerro Largo on Wednesday 21 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Belvedere.
Form guide
Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Penarol 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cerro Largo's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Cerro 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Liverpool Montevideo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 August 2026, finished Cerro Largo 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Across their last 3 meetings Liverpool Montevideo have won 1, Cerro Largo 0, with 2 draws and 1.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for Liverpool Montevideo and 0.5 for Cerro Largo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool Montevideo 62%, draw 22%, Cerro Largo 15%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Liverpool Montevideo to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Cerro Largo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool Montevideo62%fair 1.61 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.25
Cerro Largo15%fair 6.45 · @5.50
2.00Expected goals
1.47Liverpool Montevideo xG
0.53Cerro Largo xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.5 – 0.5 Cerro Largo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✓
62%
1.61
1.60
Double chance
Liverpool Montevideo or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✗
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
Our pick is Liverpool Montevideo to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cerro Largo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Cerro Largo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
