Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaudi Arabia to win ✗60% · @1.57
Double chanceSaudi Arabia or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.76
Saudi Arabia vs Qatar preview and prediction
The match
The Gulf Cup Of Nations sees Saudi Arabia take on Qatar on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT). Saudi Arabia are 1st with 9 points from 3 games, while Qatar sit 2nd on 7 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Saudi Arabia's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Iraq 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Qatar's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with United Arab Emirates 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Saudi Arabia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for Saudi Arabia and 0.5 for Qatar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Saudi Arabia 60%, draw 21%, Qatar 19%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Saudi Arabia to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Saudi Arabia 1–0 Qatar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Saudi Arabia60%fair 1.66 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Qatar19%fair 5.37 · @5.50
1.83Expected goals
1.31Saudi Arabia xG
0.52Qatar xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Saudi Arabia 1.3 – 0.5 Qatar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saudi Arabia to win✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Double chance
Saudi Arabia or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saudi Arabia / FT Saudi Arabia✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.76
–
Form
Saudi Arabia – last 6
WWWDLD
29 Sep
vs Iraq
2–0
W
26 Sep
@ Oman
3–0
W
23 Sep
vs Kuwait
1–0
W
27 Jun
@ Cape Verde Islands
0–0
D
21 Jun
@ Spain
0–4
L
15 Jun
vs Uruguay
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Qatar – last 6
DWWLLD
30 Sep
@ United Arab Emirates
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Yemen
1–0
W
24 Sep
vs Bahrain
2–0
W
24 Jun
@ Bosnia & Herzegovina
1–3
L
18 Jun
@ Canada
0–6
L
13 Jun
vs Switzerland
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saudi Arabia and Qatar.
Our pick is Saudi Arabia to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Saudi Arabia vs Qatar?
On our numbers Saudi Arabia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Qatar 19%.
How many goals will there be in Saudi Arabia vs Qatar?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saudi Arabia vs Qatar?
Our predicted score is Saudi Arabia 1–0 Qatar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Saudi Arabia vs Qatar?
Saudi Arabia vs Qatar (Gulf Cup Of Nations) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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