Premier League · Jamaica · Draxhall Sports ComplexMount Pleasant Academy vs Cavalier prediction & analysis
Mount Pleasant Academy or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Mount Pleasant Academy to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mount Pleasant Academy 2.0 – 1.0 Cavalier expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mount Pleasant Academy are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 19% for Cavalier.
Mount Pleasant Academy have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Cavalier have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.0 for Mount Pleasant Academy, 1.0 for Cavalier). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 2 meetings, Mount Pleasant Academy have won 2, Cavalier have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Our pick is Mount Pleasant Academy or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.23. For a bigger price, Mount Pleasant Academy to win at 1.85 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mount Pleasant Academy to win ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Mount Pleasant Academy or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Mount Pleasant Academy ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mount Pleasant Academy / FT Mount Pleasant Academy ✗ | 39% | 2.59 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.03 | – |
Form
Mount Pleasant Academy – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Dunbeholden | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Racing United | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Sep | vs Cavalier | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Tru-Juice | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Sep | @ Portmore United | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Sep | @ Salcedo | 1–1 | D |
Cavalier – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Arnett Gardens | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ Mount Pleasant Academy | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Dunbeholden | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Portmore United | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Salcedo | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Aug | @ Cibao | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 18 Sep 2026 | Mount Pleasant Academy v Cavalier | 1–0 |
| 9 Apr 2026 | Cavalier v Mount Pleasant Academy | 1–3 |
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tru-Juice | 9 | +14 | 20 |
| 2 |  Waterhouse | 8 | +16 | 18 |
| 3 |  Racing United | 9 | +8 | 17 |
| 4 |  Montego Bay United | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Mount Pleasant Academy | 8 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 |  Tivoli Gardens | 9 | +5 | 12 |
| 7 |  Arnett Gardens | 8 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |  Portmore United | 7 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 |  Cavalier | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Chapelton | 9 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 |  Dunbeholden | 9 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 |  Molynes United | 9 | -11 | 7 |
| 13 |  Treasure Beach | 9 | -10 | 6 |
| 14 |  Humble Lions | 8 | -19 | 2 |
More Premier League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mount Pleasant Academy vs Cavalier?
Our pick is Mount Pleasant Academy or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mount Pleasant Academy vs Cavalier?
On our numbers Mount Pleasant Academy have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cavalier 19%.
How many goals will there be in Mount Pleasant Academy vs Cavalier?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Mount Pleasant Academy vs Cavalier?
Mount Pleasant Academy vs Cavalier (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Draxhall Sports Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.