Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.23 – our chance 55% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub America to win ✗46% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.65
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America preview and prediction
The match
Club America travel to face Guadalajara Chivas in the Friendlies Clubs on Monday 5 October (02:00 WAT).
Form guide
Guadalajara Chivas's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Club Queretaro 0–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Club America's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Necaxa 4–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Guadalajara Chivas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 September 2026, finished Club America 2–2 Guadalajara Chivas. Across their last 2 meetings Guadalajara Chivas have won 1, Club America 0, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Guadalajara Chivas and 1.1 for Club America. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 55% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guadalajara Chivas 34%, draw 19%, Club America 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.23 – 55% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.43, above our fair price of 1.34, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Guadalajara Chivas 0–1 Club America. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guadalajara Chivas34%fair 2.92 · @3.12
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.78
Club America46%fair 2.15 · @2.04
2.01Expected goals
0.89Guadalajara Chivas xG
1.12Club America xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–013%
1–113%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas 0.9 – 1.1 Club America expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Club America 46%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas 0–1 Club America, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America?
Guadalajara Chivas vs Club America (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
