Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: South Korea W to win @ 1.62 – our chance 66% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouth Korea W to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceSouth Korea W or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.85
China W vs South Korea W preview and prediction
The match
South Korea W travel to Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa in the on Friday 2 October (07:00 WAT) to face China W.
Form guide
China W's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Korea DPR W 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
South Korea W's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Japan W 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
South Korea W arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.3 for China W and 2.8 for South Korea W. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 78% and both teams to score at 68%.
Betting angles
Win chances: China W 12%, draw 22%, South Korea W 66%.
Safer route: South Korea W or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.44.
Value angle: South Korea W to win at 1.62 – 66% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was South Korea W or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: China W 1–2 South Korea W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
China W12%fair 8.57 · @3.90
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.80
South Korea W66%fair 1.52 · @1.62
4.10Expected goals
1.29China W xG
2.81South Korea W xG
68%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–38%
0–27%
0–36%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: China W 1.3 – 2.8 South Korea W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Korea W to win✓
66%
1.52
1.62 ▲
Double chance
South Korea W or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
–
Half-time result
South Korea W ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Korea W / FT South Korea W✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.85
–
Form
China W – last 6
LDWDLL
29 Sep
@ Korea DPR W
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs Vietnam W
0–0
D
21 Sep
vs Philippines W
5–1
W
17 Sep
@ Uzbekistan W
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Russia W
0–1
L
3 Jun
vs Russia W
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
South Korea W – last 6
LWDWWL
29 Sep
@ Japan W
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs Uzbekistan W
6–3
W
21 Sep
vs Korea DPR W
1–1
D
17 Sep
@ Bangladesh W
6–0
W
14 Sep
vs Myanmar W
5–0
W
14 Apr
@ Canada W
1–3
L
3.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between China W and South Korea W.
What is the prediction for China W vs South Korea W?
Our pick is South Korea W or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win China W vs South Korea W?
On our numbers China W have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and South Korea W 66%.
How many goals will there be in China W vs South Korea W?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for China W vs South Korea W?
Our predicted score is China W 1–2 South Korea W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is China W vs South Korea W?
China W vs South Korea W () kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Korea DPR W2
Japan W2