The Cup sees Standard Liege take on Dender on Friday 16 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Standard Liege's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Charleroi 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Dender's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Club Brugge II 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dender arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 6.0 goals: 4.0 for Standard Liege and 2.0 for Dender. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 94% and both teams to score at 68%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Standard Liege 66%, draw 24%, Dender 10%.
Safer route: Standard Liege or draw (90%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Standard Liege 3–2 Dender. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Standard Liege66%fair 1.51 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.50
Dender10%fair 10.06 · @5.00
6.00Expected goals
3.96Standard Liege xG
2.04Dender xG
68%Both score
94%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–25%
4–25%
3–15%
4–15%
5–24%
5–14%
From our goals model: Standard Liege 4.0 – 2.0 Dender expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Standard Liege to win✓
66%
1.51
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Standard Liege or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.46
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Standard Liege ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Standard Liege / FT Standard Liege✓
51%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–2✗
5%
18.72
–
Form
Standard Liege – last 6
LLLWWW
11 Oct
vs Charleroi
0–1
L
18 Sep
@ Gent
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ KVC Westerlo
2–4
L
5 Sep
vs Antwerp
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ OH Leuven
2–1
W
21 Aug
vs RAAL La Louvière
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dender – last 6
WWWWWW
9 Oct
vs Club Brugge II
3–0
W
26 Sep
@ Hoogstraten
6–0
W
20 Sep
vs Patro Eisden
1–0
W
11 Sep
@ KAA Gent II
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Seraing United
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Liège
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Standard Liege and Dender.
What is the prediction for Standard Liege vs Dender?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Standard Liege vs Dender?
On our numbers Standard Liege have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dender 10%.
How many goals will there be in Standard Liege vs Dender?
We expect about 6.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 94% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Standard Liege vs Dender?
Our predicted score is Standard Liege 3–2 Dender, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.0 goals in total.
When is Standard Liege vs Dender?
Standard Liege vs Dender (Cup) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
SK Beveren3
Habay-la-Neuve0
Sporting Hasselt1
Cercle Brugge2
KVC Westerlo2
Patro Eisden0