Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
NG
Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 55% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKV Mechelen to win ✓58% · @1.70
Double chanceKV Mechelen or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗29% · fair 3.46
KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees KV Mechelen take on AS Eupen on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT).
Form guide
KV Mechelen's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat St. Truiden 4–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
AS Eupen's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat RSC Anderlecht II 2–0 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AS Eupen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.8 for KV Mechelen and 0.2 for AS Eupen. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: KV Mechelen 58%, draw 22%, AS Eupen 20%.
Safer route: KV Mechelen or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Not both teams to score at 2.30 – 55% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was KV Mechelen or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: KV Mechelen 0–0 AS Eupen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KV Mechelen58%fair 1.73 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.80
AS Eupen20%fair 4.97 · @3.80
1.00Expected goals
0.79KV Mechelen xG
0.21AS Eupen xG
45%Both score
8%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–037%
1–029%
2–011%
0–18%
1–16%
3–03%
From our goals model: KV Mechelen 0.8 – 0.2 AS Eupen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KV Mechelen to win✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Double chance
KV Mechelen or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
29%
3.46
–
Form
KV Mechelen – last 6
WLDLLD
11 Oct
vs St. Truiden
4–3
W
3 Oct
vs Karpaty
2–3
L
19 Sep
@ Lommel United
0–0
D
11 Sep
vs Anderlecht
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs KVC Westerlo
0–4
L
29 Aug
@ RAAL La Louvière
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AS Eupen – last 6
WWWWWW
9 Oct
@ RSC Anderlecht II
2–0
W
1 Oct
vs Alemannia Aachen
3–1
W
27 Sep
@ Merelbeke
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Liège
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Patro Eisden
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Club Brugge II
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KV Mechelen and AS Eupen.
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen?
Our pick is KV Mechelen or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen?
On our numbers KV Mechelen have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and AS Eupen 20%.
How many goals will there be in KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen?
We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen?
Our predicted score is KV Mechelen 0–0 AS Eupen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.
When is KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen?
KV Mechelen vs AS Eupen (Cup) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rochefort3
Gent3
St. Truiden4
Lommel United1