Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Ludogorets to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLudogorets to win ✓66% · @1.50
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.08
Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna preview and prediction
The match
Ludogorets host Cherno More Varna in the Friendlies Clubs on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Ludogorets's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Septemvri Sofia 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Cherno More Varna's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Arda Kardzhali 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Ludogorets arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 August 2026, finished Cherno More Varna 2–3 Ludogorets. Across their last 2 meetings Ludogorets have won 1, Cherno More Varna 0, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Ludogorets and 0.8 for Cherno More Varna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ludogorets 66%, draw 23%, Cherno More Varna 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ludogorets to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Ludogorets 2–0 Cherno More Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ludogorets66%fair 1.51 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @4.00
Cherno More Varna11%fair 9.50 · @5.00
2.89Expected goals
2.11Ludogorets xG
0.78Cherno More Varna xG
48%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ludogorets 2.1 – 0.8 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?
Our pick is Ludogorets to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?
On our numbers Ludogorets have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cherno More Varna 11%.
How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?
Our predicted score is Ludogorets 2–0 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna?
Ludogorets vs Cherno More Varna (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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