Genk vs Fortuna Sittard prediction & analysis
Genk to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Genk 2.4 – 1.1 Fortuna Sittard expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Genk are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 15% for Fortuna Sittard.
Genk have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Fortuna Sittard have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 3.5 goals (2.4 for Genk, 1.1 for Fortuna Sittard). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Genk have won 0, Fortuna Sittard have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Genk to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Genk to win ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.67 ▲ |
| Double chance | Genk or draw ✗ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Half-time result | Genk ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.06 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Genk / FT Genk ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.41 | – |
Form
Genk – last 6
| 20 Sep | @ Club Brugge KV | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Gent | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Anderlecht | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Aug | vs SK Beveren | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Antwerp | 4–4 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs KVC Westerlo | 3–2 | W |
Fortuna Sittard – last 6
| 19 Sep | @ Willem II | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Ajax | 1–5 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ ADO Den Haag | 3–2 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Groningen | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs AZ Alkmaar | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Cambuur | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 11 Jul 2026 | Fortuna Sittard v Genk | 2–1 |
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What is the prediction for Genk vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our pick is Genk to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Genk vs Fortuna Sittard?
On our numbers Genk have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fortuna Sittard 15%.
How many goals will there be in Genk vs Fortuna Sittard?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Genk vs Fortuna Sittard?
Genk vs Fortuna Sittard (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.