Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEgaleo to win ✓61% · @1.67
Double chanceEgaleo or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.29
Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus preview and prediction
The match
Egaleo host Ethnikos Piraeus in the Gamma Ethniki Group 8 on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Egaleo are 2nd with 16 points from 7 games (in the top four), while Ethnikos Piraeus sit 6th on 10 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Egaleo's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Ialysos 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ethnikos Piraeus's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Amfiali 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Egaleo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Egaleo and 0.7 for Ethnikos Piraeus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 42%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Egaleo to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Egaleo 1–0 Ethnikos Piraeus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Egaleo61%fair 1.63 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.40
Ethnikos Piraeus14%fair 6.95 · @4.50
2.36Expected goals
1.68Egaleo xG
0.68Ethnikos Piraeus xG
42%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Egaleo 1.7 – 0.7 Ethnikos Piraeus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Egaleo to win✓
61%
1.63
1.67
Double chance
Egaleo or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Egaleo / FT Egaleo✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
16%
6.29
–
Form
Egaleo – last 6
WLWWWD
4 Oct
@ Ialysos
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Panargiakos
2–3
L
4 Apr
vs Kissamikos
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Ellas Syros
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Ilioupoli
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ Kissamikos
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ethnikos Piraeus – last 6
DLWLLD
4 Oct
vs Amfiali
1–1
D
17 May
@ Zakynthos
1–2
L
13 May
vs Pyrgos 1968
2–0
W
10 May
@ Aris Petroupolis
0–1
L
3 May
vs Zakynthos
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Pyrgos 1968
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Egaleo and Ethnikos Piraeus.
What is the prediction for Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
Our pick is Egaleo to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
On our numbers Egaleo have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ethnikos Piraeus 14%.
How many goals will there be in Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
Our predicted score is Egaleo 1–0 Ethnikos Piraeus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus?
Egaleo vs Ethnikos Piraeus (Gamma Ethniki Group 8) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
