Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEthnikos Piraeus to win ✗71% · @1.25
Double chanceEthnikos Piraeus or draw ✓93% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗67% · fair 1.49
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.70
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26% · fair 3.81
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali preview and prediction
The match
The Gamma Ethniki Group 8 sees Ethnikos Piraeus take on Amfiali on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Ethnikos Piraeus are 6th with 10 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Amfiali sit 11th on 4 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Ethnikos Piraeus's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Zakynthos 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.5 for Ethnikos Piraeus and 0.2 for Amfiali. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ethnikos Piraeus 1–0 Amfiali. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ethnikos Piraeus71%fair 1.41 · @1.25
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @4.75
Amfiali7%fair 13.38 · @11.00
1.73Expected goals
1.49Ethnikos Piraeus xG
0.25Amfiali xG
33%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–026%
2–020%
0–018%
3–010%
1–16%
2–15%
From our goals model: Ethnikos Piraeus 1.5 – 0.2 Amfiali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethnikos Piraeus to win✗
71%
1.41
1.25
Double chance
Ethnikos Piraeus or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ethnikos Piraeus / FT Ethnikos Piraeus✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
26%
3.81
–
Form
Ethnikos Piraeus – last 6
LWLLDD
17 May
@ Zakynthos
1–2
L
13 May
vs Pyrgos 1968
2–0
W
10 May
@ Aris Petroupolis
0–1
L
3 May
vs Zakynthos
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ Pyrgos 1968
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Aris Petroupolis
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Amfiali
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethnikos Piraeus and Amfiali.
What is the prediction for Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali?
On our numbers Ethnikos Piraeus have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Amfiali 7%.
How many goals will there be in Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 33% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali?
Our predicted score is Ethnikos Piraeus 1–0 Amfiali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali?
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Amfiali (Gamma Ethniki Group 8) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.