Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Estrella Roja take on CD Motagua on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 00:15 (WAT). Estrella Roja are 5th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while CD Motagua sit 4th on 28 points (in the top four).
Form guide
CD Motagua's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat CD Marathon 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Estrella Roja and 1.6 for CD Motagua. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Estrella Roja 31%, draw 22%, CD Motagua 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Estrella Roja 1–1 CD Motagua. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estrella Roja31%fair 3.26 · @2.96
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.08
CD Motagua47%fair 2.12 · @2.18
2.84Expected goals
1.24Estrella Roja xG
1.61CD Motagua xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Estrella Roja 1.2 – 1.6 CD Motagua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CD Motagua to win✓
47%
2.12
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.31
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CD Motagua / FT CD Motagua✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Form
Estrella Roja – last 2
WD
31 Oct
vs Atletico Independiente
3–1
W
24 Oct
@ Olancho
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
CD Motagua – last 6
WLWDWW
2 Nov
vs CD Marathon
2–0
W
30 Oct
@ LD Alajuelense
1–2
L
25 Oct
vs Juticalpa
2–0
W
23 Oct
vs LD Alajuelense
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Platense FC
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Atlético Choloma
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estrella Roja and CD Motagua.
What is the prediction for Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua?
On our numbers Estrella Roja have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CD Motagua 47%.
How many goals will there be in Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua?
Our predicted score is Estrella Roja 1–1 CD Motagua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua?
Estrella Roja vs CD Motagua (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
