Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.35
CD Motagua vs CD Marathon preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees CD Motagua take on CD Marathon on Monday 2 November, kicking off at 00:15 (WAT) at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles. CD Motagua are 4th with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while CD Marathon sit 3rd on 28 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
CD Motagua's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to LD Alajuelense 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CD Marathon's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Alianza 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 May 2026, finished CD Marathon 1–1 CD Motagua. Across their last 3 meetings CD Motagua have won 0, CD Marathon 1, with 2 draws and 1.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for CD Motagua and 1.2 for CD Marathon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Motagua 45%, draw 21%, CD Marathon 34%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 51% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: CD Motagua 1–1 CD Marathon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Motagua45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
CD Marathon34%fair 2.91 · @3.00
2.57Expected goals
1.40CD Motagua xG
1.17CD Marathon xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: CD Motagua 1.4 – 1.2 CD Marathon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
On our numbers CD Motagua have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CD Marathon 34%.
How many goals will there be in CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
Our predicted score is CD Motagua 1–1 CD Marathon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CD Motagua vs CD Marathon?
CD Motagua vs CD Marathon (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Chelato Ucles.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
