Value bet: Lobos Upnfm to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLobos Upnfm to win ✓51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.67
Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis preview and prediction
The match
Lobos Upnfm host Génesis in the Liga Nacional on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse. Lobos Upnfm are 6th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Génesis sit 8th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Lobos Upnfm's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to CD Olimpia 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Génesis's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Atlético Choloma 1–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lobos Upnfm arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished Lobos Upnfm 0–1 Génesis. Across their last 2 meetings Lobos Upnfm have won 1, Génesis 1, with 0 draws and 1.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Lobos Upnfm and 1.0 for Génesis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 45%.
Value angle: Lobos Upnfm to win at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Lobos Upnfm 1–0 Génesis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lobos Upnfm51%fair 1.96 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Génesis28%fair 3.56 · @3.00
2.40Expected goals
1.44Lobos Upnfm xG
0.96Génesis xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
2–09%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Lobos Upnfm 1.4 – 1.0 Génesis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis?
On our numbers Lobos Upnfm have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Génesis 28%.
How many goals will there be in Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis?
Our predicted score is Lobos Upnfm 1–0 Génesis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis?
Lobos Upnfm vs Génesis (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
