Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlancho to win ✗57% · @1.75
Double chanceOlancho or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.15
Olancho vs Estrella Roja preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Olancho take on Estrella Roja on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas. Olancho are 7th with 18 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Estrella Roja sit 5th on 19 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Olancho's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to CD Marathon 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Olancho and 0.8 for Estrella Roja. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Olancho 57%, draw 22%, Estrella Roja 20%.
Safer route: Olancho or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Olancho or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Olancho 1–0 Estrella Roja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olancho57%fair 1.74 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.50
Estrella Roja20%fair 4.91 · @4.00
2.45Expected goals
1.62Olancho xG
0.83Estrella Roja xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Olancho 1.6 – 0.8 Estrella Roja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olancho to win✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Double chance
Olancho or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olancho / FT Olancho✗
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.15
–
Form
Olancho – last 6
LDDDDL
16 Oct
@ CD Marathon
1–2
L
12 Oct
vs Atletico Independiente
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Génesis
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Real Espana
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Atlético Choloma
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ CD Motagua
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Estrella Roja
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olancho and Estrella Roja.
What is the prediction for Olancho vs Estrella Roja?
Our pick is Olancho or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Olancho vs Estrella Roja?
On our numbers Olancho have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Estrella Roja 20%.
How many goals will there be in Olancho vs Estrella Roja?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olancho vs Estrella Roja?
Our predicted score is Olancho 1–0 Estrella Roja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Olancho vs Estrella Roja?
Olancho vs Estrella Roja (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
