Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCD Marathon to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chanceCD Marathon or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.75
CD Marathon vs Olancho preview and prediction
The match
CD Marathon host Olancho in the Liga Nacional on Friday 16 October, with kick-off at 00:15 (WAT) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal. CD Marathon are 3rd with 28 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Olancho sit 7th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
CD Marathon's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Lobos Upnfm 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Olancho's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Atletico Independiente 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Olancho 1–1 CD Marathon.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for CD Marathon and 0.6 for Olancho. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CD Marathon 62%, draw 24%, Olancho 14%.
Safer route: CD Marathon or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CD Marathon to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CD Marathon 1–0 Olancho. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CD Marathon62%fair 1.62 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.50
Olancho14%fair 7.01 · @4.20
2.23Expected goals
1.61CD Marathon xG
0.62Olancho xG
43%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: CD Marathon 1.6 – 0.6 Olancho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CD Marathon vs Olancho?
Our pick is CD Marathon to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win CD Marathon vs Olancho?
On our numbers CD Marathon have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Olancho 14%.
How many goals will there be in CD Marathon vs Olancho?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CD Marathon vs Olancho?
Our predicted score is CD Marathon 1–0 Olancho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is CD Marathon vs Olancho?
CD Marathon vs Olancho (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
