The Cup sees Karmiotissa take on Ermis on Tuesday 3 November, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Ammochostos Stadium.
Form guide
Karmiotissa's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Olympiakos 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Ermis's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Anagennisi Deryneia 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Karmiotissa and 0.7 for Ermis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Karmiotissa 68%, draw 22%, Ermis 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.78.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Karmiotissa to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Karmiotissa 2–0 Ermis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karmiotissa68%fair 1.46 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @4.05
Ermis9%fair 10.58 · @5.98
2.88Expected goals
2.15Karmiotissa xG
0.73Ermis xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Karmiotissa 2.2 – 0.7 Ermis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karmiotissa to win✓
68%
1.46
1.44
Double chance
Karmiotissa or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.78
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.38
Half-time result
Karmiotissa ahead at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karmiotissa / FT Karmiotissa✓
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
13%
7.69
–
Form
Karmiotissa – last 6
WLLLDD
30 Oct
vs Olympiakos
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Apollon Limassol
0–5
L
17 Oct
@ Krasava Ypsonas
1–2
L
9 Oct
vs Omonia Nicosia
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Aris
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Omonia Aradippou
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ermis – last 6
LLWWLL
30 Oct
vs Anagennisi Deryneia
1–2
L
24 Oct
@ APEA
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs MEAP Nisou
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Polemidion
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Nea Salamis
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs PAEEK
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karmiotissa and Ermis.
Our pick is Karmiotissa to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Karmiotissa vs Ermis?
On our numbers Karmiotissa have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ermis 9%.
How many goals will there be in Karmiotissa vs Ermis?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karmiotissa vs Ermis?
Our predicted score is Karmiotissa 2–0 Ermis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Karmiotissa vs Ermis?
Karmiotissa vs Ermis (Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Ammochostos Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
AEL2
Iraklis Yerolakkou1