Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Togo U23 to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTogo U23 to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chanceTogo U23 or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.56
Togo U23 vs Libya U23 preview and prediction
The match
Togo U23 host Libya U23 in the CAF U23 Cup Of Nations on Wednesday 30 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Togo U23 and 0.8 for Libya U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 44%.
Value angle: Togo U23 to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Togo U23 or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Togo U23 1–0 Libya U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Togo U2364%fair 1.55 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.50
Libya U2313%fair 7.42 · @3.50
2.67Expected goals
1.92Togo U23 xG
0.76Libya U23 xG
44%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Togo U23 1.9 – 0.8 Libya U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Togo U23 to win✗
64%
1.55
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Togo U23 or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Togo U23 ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Togo U23 / FT Togo U23✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.56
–
Form
Togo U23
No recent results on record.
Libya U23
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Togo U23 and Libya U23.
Our pick is Togo U23 or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Togo U23 vs Libya U23?
On our numbers Togo U23 have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Libya U23 13%.
How many goals will there be in Togo U23 vs Libya U23?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Togo U23 vs Libya U23?
Our predicted score is Togo U23 1–0 Libya U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Togo U23 vs Libya U23?
Togo U23 vs Libya U23 (CAF U23 Cup Of Nations) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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