Value bet: NorthEast United to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorthEast United to win ✓63% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.22
Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United preview and prediction
The match
Churchill Brothers host NorthEast United in the Indian Super League on Thursday 5 November, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT). Churchill Brothers are 10th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while NorthEast United sit 2nd on 11 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Churchill Brothers's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Minerva Punjab 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.7 conceded.
NorthEast United's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Bengaluru 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
NorthEast United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Churchill Brothers and 1.9 for NorthEast United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Churchill Brothers 22%, draw 15%, NorthEast United 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: NorthEast United to win at 1.83 – 63% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Churchill Brothers 1–1 NorthEast United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Churchill Brothers22%fair 4.52 · @3.50
Draw15%fair 6.54 · @3.50
NorthEast United63%fair 1.60 · @1.83
2.86Expected goals
0.96Churchill Brothers xG
1.90NorthEast United xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Churchill Brothers 1.0 – 1.9 NorthEast United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NorthEast United to win✓
63%
1.60
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Half-time result
NorthEast United ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NorthEast United / FT NorthEast United✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.22
–
Form
Churchill Brothers – last 3
LLW
25 Oct
vs Minerva Punjab
2–3
L
18 Oct
vs East Bengal II
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Mumbai City
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
NorthEast United – last 6
DDWWLD
30 Oct
vs Bengaluru
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Odisha
0–0
D
18 Oct
vs Kerala Blasters
4–1
W
12 Oct
vs ATK Mohun Bagan
1–0
W
5 Oct
@ East Bengal II
2–7
L
29 Sep
@ ATK Mohun Bagan
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Churchill Brothers and NorthEast United.
What is the prediction for Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United?
On our numbers Churchill Brothers have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 15% and NorthEast United 63%.
How many goals will there be in Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United?
Our predicted score is Churchill Brothers 1–1 NorthEast United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United?
Churchill Brothers vs NorthEast United (Indian Super League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
