Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMinerva Punjab to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab preview and prediction
The match
Minerva Punjab travel to Fatorda Stadium in the Indian Super League on Sunday 25 October (12:30 WAT) to face Churchill Brothers. Churchill Brothers are 10th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Minerva Punjab sit 5th on 7 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Minerva Punjab's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Mumbai City 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Churchill Brothers and 1.5 for Minerva Punjab. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Churchill Brothers 1–1 Minerva Punjab. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Churchill Brothers33%fair 2.99 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Minerva Punjab46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
2.81Expected goals
1.27Churchill Brothers xG
1.54Minerva Punjab xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Churchill Brothers 1.3 – 1.5 Minerva Punjab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Minerva Punjab to win✓
46%
2.18
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Minerva Punjab / FT Minerva Punjab✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.76
–
Form
Churchill Brothers – last 2
LW
18 Oct
vs East Bengal II
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Mumbai City
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Minerva Punjab – last 6
DWDWWL
19 Oct
vs Mumbai City
1–1
D
14 Oct
vs Odisha
2–1
W
4 Oct
@ ATK Mohun Bagan
0–0
D
30 Sep
@ East Bengal II
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Calcutta Customs
7–0
W
29 Aug
vs Horley Town
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Churchill Brothers and Minerva Punjab.
What is the prediction for Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab?
On our numbers Churchill Brothers have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Minerva Punjab 46%.
How many goals will there be in Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab?
Our predicted score is Churchill Brothers 1–1 Minerva Punjab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab?
Churchill Brothers vs Minerva Punjab (Indian Super League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Fatorda Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
