Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Nasr to win ✗62% · @1.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.30
Al Nasr vs Sur preview and prediction
The match
The Professional League sees Al Nasr take on Sur on Wednesday 4 November, kicking off at 14:05 (WAT). Al Nasr are 3rd with 12 points from 6 games (in the top four), while Sur sit 12th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Al Nasr's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Bahla 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sur's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Oman Club 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Al Nasr 1–0 Sur.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Al Nasr and 0.9 for Sur. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Nasr 62%, draw 18%, Sur 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 53% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Al Nasr 2–0 Sur. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Nasr62%fair 1.61 · @1.48
Draw18%fair 5.44 · @3.75
Sur20%fair 5.11 · @5.75
2.73Expected goals
1.85Al Nasr xG
0.88Sur xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al Nasr 1.8 – 0.9 Sur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Nasr vs Sur?
On our numbers Al Nasr have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sur 20%.
How many goals will there be in Al Nasr vs Sur?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Nasr vs Sur?
Our predicted score is Al Nasr 2–0 Sur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Al Nasr vs Sur?
Al Nasr vs Sur (Professional League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 14:05 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.