Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Nahda to win ✓65% · @1.36
Double chanceAl-Nahda or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.55
Al-Nahda vs Sur preview and prediction
The match
Sur travel to face Al-Nahda in the Professional League on Monday 19 October (14:00 WAT). Al-Nahda are 1st with 13 points from 5 games (top of the table), while Sur sit 12th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Al-Nahda's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Al Faisaly 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sur's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Saham 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 March 2026, finished Al-Nahda 3–2 Sur. Across their last 2 meetings Al-Nahda have won 2, Sur 0, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Al-Nahda and 0.8 for Sur. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Nahda 65%, draw 21%, Sur 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al-Nahda to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Al-Nahda 2–0 Sur. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Nahda65%fair 1.55 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.00
Sur14%fair 6.92 · @7.50
2.86Expected goals
2.02Al-Nahda xG
0.84Sur xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al-Nahda 2.0 – 0.8 Sur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al-Nahda to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Al-Nahda vs Sur?
On our numbers Al-Nahda have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sur 14%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nahda vs Sur?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nahda vs Sur?
Our predicted score is Al-Nahda 2–0 Sur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Al-Nahda vs Sur?
Al-Nahda vs Sur (Professional League) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
