Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Saham to win @ 1.95 – our chance 64% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaham to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceSaham or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.37
Saham vs Sur preview and prediction
The match
Saham host Sur in the Professional League on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 14:05 (WAT). Saham are 5th with 10 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Sur sit 12th on 6 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Saham's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Al-Shabab 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Sur's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Oman Club 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished Sur 0–0 Saham.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Saham and 0.8 for Sur. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Saham 64%, draw 21%, Sur 15%.
Safer route: Saham or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Saham to win at 1.95 – 64% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Saham or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Saham 1–0 Sur. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Saham64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.20
Sur15%fair 6.69 · @3.40
2.62Expected goals
1.86Saham xG
0.76Sur xG
45%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Saham 1.9 – 0.8 Sur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Saham or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Saham vs Sur?
On our numbers Saham have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sur 15%.
How many goals will there be in Saham vs Sur?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saham vs Sur?
Our predicted score is Saham 1–0 Sur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Saham vs Sur?
Saham vs Sur (Professional League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:05 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
