Value bet: Llapi to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFeronikeli to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Feronikeli vs Llapi preview and prediction
The match
The Superliga sees Feronikeli take on Llapi on Wednesday 14 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Feronikeli are 7th with 15 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Llapi sit 9th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Feronikeli's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Drenica Skënderaj 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Llapi's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Ballkani 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Feronikeli and 1.4 for Llapi. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Feronikeli 42%, draw 23%, Llapi 36%.
Value angle: Llapi to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.90. Predicted score: Feronikeli 2–1 Llapi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Feronikeli42%fair 2.41 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
Llapi36%fair 2.80 · @3.00
2.96Expected goals
1.55Feronikeli xG
1.41Llapi xG
52%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Feronikeli 1.5 – 1.4 Llapi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Feronikeli to win✗
42%
2.41
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Feronikeli / FT Feronikeli✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Form
Feronikeli – last 6
DWLWLL
10 Oct
@ Drenica Skënderaj
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Vushtrria
3–1
W
13 Sep
@ Prishtina
0–3
L
9 Sep
vs Drita
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Ballkani
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Malisheva
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Llapi – last 6
LWLLWL
9 Oct
vs Ballkani
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Shkendija
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Drenica Skënderaj
0–4
L
14 Sep
vs Malisheva
0–4
L
8 Sep
@ Vushtrria
4–0
W
5 Sep
vs Dukagjini
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Feronikeli and Llapi.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Feronikeli vs Llapi?
On our numbers Feronikeli have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Llapi 36%.
How many goals will there be in Feronikeli vs Llapi?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Feronikeli vs Llapi?
Our predicted score is Feronikeli 2–1 Llapi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Feronikeli vs Llapi?
Feronikeli vs Llapi (Superliga) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
