Wednesday, 11 November 2026 15 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Premier League · Lebanon
0–0
FT

Al Ahed

WDWDD

Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed prediction & analysis

57%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAl Ahed to win ✗51% · @5.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.67

Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed preview and prediction

The match

Al Ahed travel to face Shabab Al Sahel in the Premier League on Friday 30 October (13:15 WAT). Shabab Al Sahel are 9th with 4 points from 5 games (in the bottom half), while Al Ahed sit 4th on 9 points (in the top four).

Form guide

Shabab Al Sahel's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Jwaaya FC 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Al Ahed's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Reyady Abaseya 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Al Ahed 4–2 Shabab Al Sahel.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Shabab Al Sahel and 1.3 for Al Ahed. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shabab Al Sahel 0–1 Al Ahed. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Shabab Al Sahel29%fair 3.46 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.75
Al Ahed51%fair 1.94 · @5.50
2.17Expected goals
0.86Shabab Al Sahel xG
1.31Al Ahed xG
42%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–115%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%

From our goals model: Shabab Al Sahel 0.9 – 1.3 Al Ahed expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Ahed to win ✗51%1.945.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.24–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.71–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Ahed / FT Al Ahed ✗27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15%6.67–

Form

Shabab Al Sahel – last 6

LLDLWW
25 Oct@ Jwaaya FC0–2L
8 Octvs Tadamon Sour0–1L
2 Jul@ Jwaaya FC0–0D
28 Jun@ Al Ahed2–4L
24 Junvs Reyady Abaseya3–0W
16 Junvs Racing2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Al Ahed – last 6

WDWDDL
23 Octvs Reyady Abaseya1–0W
17 Oct@ Al Hikma1–1D
13 Octvs Al Mabarrah1–0W
9 Oct@ Tripoli SC1–1D
1 Augvs Jwaaya FC2–2D
28 Jul@ Al Nejmeh1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Jun 2026Al Ahed v Shabab Al Sahel4–2
Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Safa5500+1115
2Jwaaya FC6411+813
3Tadamon Sour6312+210
4Al Ahed623109
5Al Nejmeh4220+48
6Al Ansar3210+27
7Tripoli SC6213-17
8Al Hikma6123-45
9Shabab Al Sahel5113-54
10Al Akhaa Al Ahli6114-74
11Shabab Al Ghazieh6114-74
12Reyady Abaseya5023-32

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?

On our numbers Shabab Al Sahel have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Ahed 51%.

How many goals will there be in Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?

Our predicted score is Shabab Al Sahel 0–1 Al Ahed, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?

Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.