Value bet: AS Gabes to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSfax Railways to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.45
Sfax Railways vs AS Gabes preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees Sfax Railways take on AS Gabes on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Sfax Railways are 18th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while AS Gabes sit 27th on 2 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sfax Railways's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat CS Chebba 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
AS Gabes's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Mégrine 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Sfax Railways arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Sfax Railways and 1.2 for AS Gabes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sfax Railways 44%, draw 23%, AS Gabes 33%.
Value angle: AS Gabes to win at 3.60 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Sfax Railways 1–1 AS Gabes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sfax Railways44%fair 2.25 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
AS Gabes33%fair 3.02 · @3.60
2.60Expected goals
1.42Sfax Railways xG
1.18AS Gabes xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sfax Railways 1.4 – 1.2 AS Gabes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sfax Railways to win✗
44%
2.25
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sfax Railways / FT Sfax Railways✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.45
–
Form
Sfax Railways – last 6
WWDWWD
26 Sep
@ CS Chebba
2–1
W
11 May
vs AS Agareb
2–1
W
1 May
@ ES Hammam-Sousse
2–2
D
27 Apr
@ M'saken
3–1
W
13 Apr
@ BS Bouhajla
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ EM Mahdia
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
AS Gabes – last 6
LLLLLL
26 Sep
vs Mégrine
1–2
L
13 May
vs Stade Tunisien
0–1
L
8 May
@ AS Soliman
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ US Monastirienne
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs US Ben Guerdane
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Club Africain
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sfax Railways and AS Gabes.
What is the prediction for Sfax Railways vs AS Gabes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sfax Railways vs AS Gabes?
On our numbers Sfax Railways have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AS Gabes 33%.
How many goals will there be in Sfax Railways vs AS Gabes?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sfax Railways vs AS Gabes?
Our predicted score is Sfax Railways 1–1 AS Gabes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sfax Railways vs AS Gabes?
Sfax Railways vs AS Gabes (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
