Double chanceKorea Republic U23 or draw ✓92% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.75
Korea Republic U23 vs China PR U23 preview and prediction
The match
Korea Republic U23 host China PR U23 in the Asian Games on Wednesday 30 September, with kick-off at 07:00 (WAT) at Osaka Nagai Stadium. Korea Republic U23 are 1st with 6 points from 2 games, while China PR U23 sit 1st on 5 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Korea Republic U23's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Vietnam U23 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
China PR U23's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Thailand U23 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Korea Republic U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 2.0 for Korea Republic U23 and 0.5 for China PR U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Korea Republic U23 75%, draw 17%, China PR U23 8%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Korea Republic U23 to win – a 75% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Korea Republic U23 1–0 China PR U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Korea Republic U2375%fair 1.34 · @1.20
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @5.50
China PR U238%fair 12.37 · @11.00
2.43Expected goals
1.98Korea Republic U23 xG
0.45China PR U23 xG
44%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–017%
3–011%
0–09%
1–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Korea Republic U23 2.0 – 0.5 China PR U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korea Republic U23 to win✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Double chance
Korea Republic U23 or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Korea Republic U23 ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Korea Republic U23 / FT Korea Republic U23✗
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.75
–
Form
Korea Republic U23 – last 4
WWWW
25 Sep
vs Vietnam U23
4–0
W
22 Sep
vs Saudi Arabia U23
2–0
W
15 Sep
@ Qatar U23
4–1
W
6 Jun
@ Thailand U23
3–2
W
3.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
China PR U23 – last 6
WDDWWW
26 Sep
vs Thailand U23
3–0
W
23 Sep
vs UAE U23
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Iran U23
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Korea DPR U23
2–1
W
9 Jun
vs Tajikistan U23
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs Tajikistan U23
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korea Republic U23 and China PR U23.
What is the prediction for Korea Republic U23 vs China PR U23?
Our pick is Korea Republic U23 to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Korea Republic U23 vs China PR U23?
On our numbers Korea Republic U23 have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 17% and China PR U23 8%.
How many goals will there be in Korea Republic U23 vs China PR U23?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korea Republic U23 vs China PR U23?
Our predicted score is Korea Republic U23 1–0 China PR U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Korea Republic U23 vs China PR U23?
Korea Republic U23 vs China PR U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Osaka Nagai Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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