Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUS Chaouia to win ✗69% · @1.50
Double chanceUS Chaouia or draw ✓91% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓69% · fair 1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.67
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26% · fair 3.86
US Chaouia vs Khroub preview and prediction
The match
US Chaouia host Khroub in the Ligue 2 on Friday 2 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). US Chaouia are 12th with 11 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Khroub sit 8th on 12 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
US Chaouia's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to NC Magra 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Khroub's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat USM Annaba 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 February 2026, finished US Chaouia 1–0 Khroub.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.4 for US Chaouia and 0.3 for Khroub. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: US Chaouia 69%, draw 22%, Khroub 9%.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.67 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was US Chaouia to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.44, so there is value in it. Predicted score: US Chaouia 1–0 Khroub. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
US Chaouia69%fair 1.44 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.40
Khroub9%fair 11.15 · @6.50
1.71Expected goals
1.44US Chaouia xG
0.28Khroub xG
31%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–026%
2–019%
0–018%
3–09%
1–17%
2–15%
From our goals model: US Chaouia 1.4 – 0.3 Khroub expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is US Chaouia to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win US Chaouia vs Khroub?
On our numbers US Chaouia have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Khroub 9%.
How many goals will there be in US Chaouia vs Khroub?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 31% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Chaouia vs Khroub?
Our predicted score is US Chaouia 1–0 Khroub, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is US Chaouia vs Khroub?
US Chaouia vs Khroub (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
