Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFenix to win ✓68% · @1.60
Double chanceFenix or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.24
Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Fenix take on Uruguay Montevideo on Sunday 4 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Parque Capurro. Fenix are 11th with 31 points from 25 games (in the bottom half), while Uruguay Montevideo sit 14th on 22 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Fenix's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Oriental 2–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Uruguay Montevideo's last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to Rentistas 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Fenix arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 June 2026, finished Uruguay Montevideo 3–2 Fenix. Across their last 2 meetings Fenix have won 0, Uruguay Montevideo 1, with 1 draw and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Fenix and 0.6 for Uruguay Montevideo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Fenix to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fenix 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fenix68%fair 1.47 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Uruguay Montevideo11%fair 8.94 · @5.00
2.45Expected goals
1.86Fenix xG
0.59Uruguay Montevideo xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
2–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.9 – 0.6 Uruguay Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our pick is Fenix to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo?
On our numbers Fenix have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Uruguay Montevideo 11%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–0 Uruguay Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Fenix vs Uruguay Montevideo (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
