Chattanooga vs New York City II prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Chattanooga or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Chattanooga to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChattanooga to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceChattanooga or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Chattanooga vs New York City II preview and prediction
The match
New York City II travel to Finley Stadium in the MLS Next Pro on Sunday 18 October (22:00 WAT) to face Chattanooga. Chattanooga are 2nd with 56 points from 28 games (in the top four), while New York City II sit 6th on 47 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Chattanooga's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Chicago Fire II 1–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
New York City II's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Philadelphia Union II 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 June 2026, finished New York City II 1–1 Chattanooga.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Chattanooga and 1.1 for New York City II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chattanooga 66%, draw 19%, New York City II 15%.
Safer route: Chattanooga or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Chattanooga to win at 1.67 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chattanooga or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chattanooga 2–1 New York City II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chattanooga66%fair 1.51 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.75
New York City II15%fair 6.72 · @3.90
3.59Expected goals
2.47Chattanooga xG
1.12New York City II xG
66%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Chattanooga 2.5 – 1.1 New York City II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chattanooga vs New York City II?
Our pick is Chattanooga or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chattanooga vs New York City II?
On our numbers Chattanooga have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and New York City II 15%.
How many goals will there be in Chattanooga vs New York City II?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chattanooga vs New York City II?
Our predicted score is Chattanooga 2–1 New York City II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Chattanooga vs New York City II?
Chattanooga vs New York City II (MLS Next Pro) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Finley Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
