União Santarém vs GIL Vicente prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
2.00Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGIL Vicente to win ✗64% · @1.40
Double chanceGIL Vicente or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @2.00
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 14.57
União Santarém vs GIL Vicente preview and prediction
The match
GIL Vicente travel to Campo Cha das Padeiras in the Taça De Portugal on Wednesday 14 October (19:00 WAT) to face União Santarém.
Form guide
União Santarém's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Lusitano Évora 1911 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
GIL Vicente's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Moreirense 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 1.7 for União Santarém and 3.3 for GIL Vicente. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 88% and both teams to score at 66%.
Betting angles
Win chances: União Santarém 12%, draw 25%, GIL Vicente 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: União Santarém 1–3 GIL Vicente. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União Santarém12%fair 8.62 · @7.00
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.60
GIL Vicente64%fair 1.57 · @1.40
5.00Expected goals
1.70União Santarém xG
3.30GIL Vicente xG
66%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–37%
1–26%
2–36%
1–46%
2–25%
2–45%
From our goals model: União Santarém 1.7 – 3.3 GIL Vicente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GIL Vicente to win✗
64%
1.57
1.40
Double chance
GIL Vicente or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
GIL Vicente ahead at half-time✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GIL Vicente / FT GIL Vicente✗
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
14.57
–
Form
União Santarém – last 6
WWWLLD
9 Oct
vs Lusitano Évora 1911
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Merelinense
5–0
W
12 Sep
@ Louletano
2–1
W
4 Sep
vs Caldas
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ CF Os Belenenses
0–5
L
14 Aug
vs Oliveirense
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
GIL Vicente – last 6
WDLLDW
9 Oct
@ Moreirense
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Maritimo
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Benfica
1–3
L
6 Sep
vs Academico Viseu
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Famalicao
0–0
D
24 Aug
vs Casa Pia
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União Santarém and GIL Vicente.
What is the prediction for União Santarém vs GIL Vicente?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win União Santarém vs GIL Vicente?
On our numbers União Santarém have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and GIL Vicente 64%.
How many goals will there be in União Santarém vs GIL Vicente?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União Santarém vs GIL Vicente?
Our predicted score is União Santarém 1–3 GIL Vicente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is União Santarém vs GIL Vicente?
União Santarém vs GIL Vicente (Taça De Portugal) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Cha das Padeiras.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
