Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.78
Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC preview and prediction
The match
Union Comercio host Ayacucho FC in the Segunda División on Monday 12 October, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia. Union Comercio are 1st with 32 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Ayacucho FC sit 7th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union Comercio's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Minas 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ayacucho FC's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Molinos El Pirata 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Union Comercio and 0.6 for Ayacucho FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 38%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Comercio 69%, draw 19%, Ayacucho FC 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Union Comercio to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Union Comercio 1–0 Ayacucho FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Comercio69%fair 1.46 · @1.42
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @3.90
Ayacucho FC13%fair 7.88 · @6.50
2.33Expected goals
1.77Union Comercio xG
0.55Ayacucho FC xG
38%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Union Comercio 1.8 – 0.6 Ayacucho FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union Comercio to win✓
69%
1.46
1.42
Double chance
Union Comercio or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Union Comercio ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Comercio / FT Union Comercio✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.78
–
Form
Union Comercio – last 6
LWLWDD
6 Oct
@ Minas
1–4
L
27 Sep
vs Molinos El Pirata
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Deportiva Agropecuaria
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs U. San Martin
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Deportivo Llacuabamba
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Carlos A. Mannucci
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ayacucho FC – last 6
LWLLWL
6 Oct
@ Molinos El Pirata
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Minas
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Sport Huancayo 2
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Comerciantes
1–5
L
22 Aug
vs Deportivo Binacional
7–1
W
15 Aug
@ Minas
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Comercio and Ayacucho FC.
What is the prediction for Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC?
Our pick is Union Comercio to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC?
On our numbers Union Comercio have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ayacucho FC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC?
Our predicted score is Union Comercio 1–0 Ayacucho FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC?
Union Comercio vs Ayacucho FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Carlos Vidaurre Garcia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
