Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2
Value bet: Vietnam to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultThailand to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.90
Thailand vs Vietnam preview and prediction
The match
The sees Thailand take on Vietnam on Tuesday 29 September, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Jalak Harupat Soreang Stadium .
Form guide
Thailand's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Pakistan 4–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Vietnam's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Philippines 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vietnam arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 August 2026, finished Vietnam 2–2 Thailand. Across their last 2 meetings Thailand have won 0, Vietnam 1, with 1 draw and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Thailand and 1.1 for Vietnam. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Thailand 45%, draw 22%, Vietnam 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Vietnam to win at 3.20 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Thailand 1–1 Vietnam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Thailand45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.20
Vietnam33%fair 2.99 · @3.20
2.50Expected goals
1.37Thailand xG
1.13Vietnam xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Thailand 1.4 – 1.1 Vietnam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Thailand vs Vietnam?
On our numbers Thailand have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vietnam 33%.
How many goals will there be in Thailand vs Vietnam?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thailand vs Vietnam?
Our predicted score is Thailand 1–1 Vietnam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Thailand vs Vietnam?
Thailand vs Vietnam () kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Jalak Harupat Soreang Stadium .
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.