Uzbekistan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23 prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Uzbekistan U23 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUzbekistan U23 to win ✓59% · @1.62
Double chanceUzbekistan U23 or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.67
Uzbekistan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23 preview and prediction
The match
The Asian Games sees Uzbekistan U23 take on Saudi Arabia U23 on Friday 25 September, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Paloma Mizuho Stadium. Uzbekistan U23 are 1st with 9 points from 3 games, while Saudi Arabia U23 sit 2nd on 3 points.
Form guide
Uzbekistan U23's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Vietnam U23 2–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Saudi Arabia U23's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Korea Republic U23 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Uzbekistan U23 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Uzbekistan U23 and 0.9 for Saudi Arabia U23. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Uzbekistan U23 or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Uzbekistan U23 to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Uzbekistan U23 1–0 Saudi Arabia U23. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Uzbekistan U2359%fair 1.70 · @1.62
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.30
Saudi Arabia U2315%fair 6.47 · @5.00
2.80Expected goals
1.90Uzbekistan U23 xG
0.90Saudi Arabia U23 xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Uzbekistan U23 1.9 – 0.9 Saudi Arabia U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Uzbekistan U23 to win✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Double chance
Uzbekistan U23 or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Uzbekistan U23 ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Uzbekistan U23 / FT Uzbekistan U23✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.67
–
Form
Uzbekistan U23 – last 4
WWWW
22 Sep
@ Vietnam U23
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Kuwait U23
2–0
W
15 Sep
vs Philippines U23
5–1
W
8 Jun
@ USA U21
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Saudi Arabia U23 – last 3
LWL
22 Sep
@ Korea Republic U23
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs Qatar U23
2–0
W
31 May
@ China PR U20
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uzbekistan U23 and Saudi Arabia U23.
What is the prediction for Uzbekistan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23?
Our pick is Uzbekistan U23 to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Uzbekistan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23?
On our numbers Uzbekistan U23 have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Saudi Arabia U23 15%.
How many goals will there be in Uzbekistan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uzbekistan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23?
Our predicted score is Uzbekistan U23 1–0 Saudi Arabia U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Uzbekistan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23?
Uzbekistan U23 vs Saudi Arabia U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Korea Republic U234