Thursday, 12 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Premier League · Ethiopia
1–2
FT

Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi prediction & analysis

55%
Footrivo pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNegelle Arsi to win ✓43% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.30

Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi preview and prediction

The match

Negelle Arsi travel to face Sheger Ketema in the Premier League on Friday 30 October (13:00 WAT). Sheger Ketema are 12th with 5 points from 5 games (in the bottom half), while Negelle Arsi sit 1st on 11 points (top of the table).

Form guide

Sheger Ketema's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Kedus Giorgis 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Negelle Arsi's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Adama Kenema 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Sheger Ketema 1–1 Negelle Arsi.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.7 for Sheger Ketema and 0.8 for Negelle Arsi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Sheger Ketema 0–0 Negelle Arsi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sheger Ketema32%fair 3.17 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.50
Negelle Arsi43%fair 2.34 · @2.45
1.50Expected goals
0.65Sheger Ketema xG
0.85Negelle Arsi xG
45%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–022%
0–119%
1–015%
1–112%
0–28%
1–25%

From our goals model: Sheger Ketema 0.7 – 0.8 Negelle Arsi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNegelle Arsi to win ✓43%2.342.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.44 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗55%1.831.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗57%1.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗29%3.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19%5.30–

Form

Sheger Ketema – last 6

DLDWWW
26 Oct@ Kedus Giorgis2–2D
20 Oct@ Mebrat Hayl0–1L
16 Oct@ Adama Kenema0–0D
11 Oct@ Ethiopia Bunna1–0W
2 Jul@ Suhul Shire2–0W
28 Junvs Mekelakeya2–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Negelle Arsi – last 6

WWDDLW
26 Octvs Adama Kenema1–0W
21 Oct@ Ethiopia Bunna3–0W
16 Oct@ Mebrat Hayl0–0D
10 Oct@ Kedus Giorgis1–1D
1 Jul@ Mekelle Kenema0–3L
26 Junvs Ethiopia Nigd Bank2–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Apr 2026Sheger Ketema v Negelle Arsi1–1
Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi?

On our numbers Sheger Ketema have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Negelle Arsi 43%.

How many goals will there be in Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi?

Our predicted score is Sheger Ketema 0–0 Negelle Arsi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi?

Sheger Ketema vs Negelle Arsi (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.