Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.42
Ethiopia Bunna vs Negelle Arsi preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Ethiopia Bunna take on Negelle Arsi on Wednesday 21 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Ethiopia Bunna are 14th with 4 points from 5 games (in the bottom half), while Negelle Arsi sit 1st on 11 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Ethiopia Bunna's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Kedus Giorgis 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Negelle Arsi's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Mebrat Hayl 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 February 2026, finished Negelle Arsi 0–1 Ethiopia Bunna.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.8 for Ethiopia Bunna and 0.7 for Negelle Arsi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Ethiopia Bunna 0–0 Negelle Arsi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ethiopia Bunna41%fair 2.43 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @2.45
Negelle Arsi32%fair 3.11 · @3.00
1.50Expected goals
0.83Ethiopia Bunna xG
0.67Negelle Arsi xG
43%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
1–018%
0–115%
1–112%
2–08%
2–15%
From our goals model: Ethiopia Bunna 0.8 – 0.7 Negelle Arsi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ethiopia Bunna vs Negelle Arsi?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Negelle Arsi?
On our numbers Ethiopia Bunna have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Negelle Arsi 32%.
How many goals will there be in Ethiopia Bunna vs Negelle Arsi?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethiopia Bunna vs Negelle Arsi?
Our predicted score is Ethiopia Bunna 0–0 Negelle Arsi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Ethiopia Bunna vs Negelle Arsi?
Ethiopia Bunna vs Negelle Arsi (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
