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Premier League · Ethiopia
1–0
FT

Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Not both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSheger Ketema to win ✗38% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.85

Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema preview and prediction

The match

Mebrat Hayl host Sheger Ketema in the Premier League on Tuesday 20 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Mebrat Hayl are 8th with 7 points from 5 games (in the top half), while Sheger Ketema sit 12th on 5 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Mebrat Hayl's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Negelle Arsi 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sheger Ketema's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Adama Kenema 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Sheger Ketema 0–0 Mebrat Hayl.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 0.5 goals: 0.2 for Mebrat Hayl and 0.3 for Sheger Ketema. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 99% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Sheger Ketema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Mebrat Hayl33%fair 3.02 · @3.20
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @2.45
Sheger Ketema38%fair 2.62 · @2.45
0.50Expected goals
0.22Mebrat Hayl xG
0.28Sheger Ketema xG
38%Both score
1%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–061%
0–117%
1–013%
1–14%
0–22%
2–01%

From our goals model: Mebrat Hayl 0.2 – 0.3 Sheger Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSheger Ketema to win ✗38%2.622.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.401.44
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓62%1.621.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓99%1.01–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗81%1.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗63%1.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17%5.85–

Form

Mebrat Hayl – last 6

DLWDWD
16 Octvs Negelle Arsi0–0D
9 Octvs Adama Kenema0–1L
5 Jul@ Sidama Bunna1–0W
28 Junvs Awassa Kenema1–1D
22 Jun@ Welayta Dicha2–1W
16 Junvs Mekelle Kenema0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Sheger Ketema – last 6

DWWWLD
16 Oct@ Adama Kenema0–0D
11 Oct@ Ethiopia Bunna1–0W
2 Jul@ Suhul Shire2–0W
28 Junvs Mekelakeya2–0W
20 Jun@ Dire Dawa Kenema0–2L
16 Junvs Welwalo Adigrat Uni0–0D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Sheger Ketema v Mebrat Hayl0–0
Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema?

On our numbers Mebrat Hayl have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sheger Ketema 38%.

How many goals will there be in Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema?

We expect about 0.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 1% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema?

Our predicted score is Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Sheger Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 0.5 goals in total.

When is Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema?

Mebrat Hayl vs Sheger Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.