Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Ethiopia Bunna to win @ 2.50 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEthiopia Bunna to win ✗46% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.60
Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema preview and prediction
The match
Ethiopia Bunna host Sheger Ketema in the Premier League on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Ethiopia Bunna are 14th with 4 points from 5 games (in the bottom half), while Sheger Ketema sit 12th on 5 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ethiopia Bunna's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Welayta Dicha 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sheger Ketema's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Suhul Shire 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished Ethiopia Bunna 1–1 Sheger Ketema.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Ethiopia Bunna and 0.9 for Sheger Ketema. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Ethiopia Bunna to win at 2.50 – 46% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Ethiopia Bunna 1–0 Sheger Ketema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ethiopia Bunna46%fair 2.18 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @2.80
Sheger Ketema30%fair 3.32 · @2.80
2.05Expected goals
1.18Ethiopia Bunna xG
0.87Sheger Ketema xG
45%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ethiopia Bunna 1.2 – 0.9 Sheger Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?
On our numbers Ethiopia Bunna have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sheger Ketema 30%.
How many goals will there be in Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?
Our predicted score is Ethiopia Bunna 1–0 Sheger Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema?
Ethiopia Bunna vs Sheger Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
