Atenas vs San Martin Formosa prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Atenas to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtenas to win ✗64% · @1.91
Double chanceAtenas or draw ✗87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Atenas vs San Martin Formosa preview and prediction
The match
Atenas host San Martin Formosa in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Estadio 9 de Julio. Atenas are 18th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while San Martin Formosa sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Atenas's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Huracan Las Heras 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
San Martin Formosa's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Bartolomé Mitre 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Atenas and 0.6 for San Martin Formosa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atenas 64%, draw 23%, San Martin Formosa 13%.
Safer route: Atenas or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atenas to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atenas 1–0 San Martin Formosa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atenas64%fair 1.55 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
San Martin Formosa13%fair 7.64 · @3.90
2.24Expected goals
1.66Atenas xG
0.58San Martin Formosa xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Atenas 1.7 – 0.6 San Martin Formosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atenas to win✗
64%
1.55
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Atenas or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atenas / FT Atenas✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.76
–
Form
Atenas – last 6
LWLWDW
20 Sep
@ Huracan Las Heras
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Juventud Antoniana
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Alvarado
2–3
L
30 Aug
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Cipolletti
2–2
D
13 Aug
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
San Martin Formosa – last 6
DWLWDW
20 Sep
@ Bartolomé Mitre
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Sportivo Belgrano
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atenas and San Martin Formosa.
What is the prediction for Atenas vs San Martin Formosa?
Our pick is Atenas to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Atenas vs San Martin Formosa?
On our numbers Atenas have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Martin Formosa 13%.
How many goals will there be in Atenas vs San Martin Formosa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atenas vs San Martin Formosa?
Our predicted score is Atenas 1–0 San Martin Formosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Atenas vs San Martin Formosa?
Atenas vs San Martin Formosa (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 9 de Julio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
