Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Yacoub El Mansour to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultYacoub El Mansour to win ✓66% · @1.70
Double chanceYacoub El Mansour or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.33
Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia preview and prediction
The match
Chabab Mohammédia travel to face Yacoub El Mansour in the Botola 2 on Saturday 26 September (19:00 WAT). Yacoub El Mansour are 4th with 14 points from 7 games (in the top four), while Chabab Mohammédia sit 16th on 2 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Yacoub El Mansour's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat FUS Rabat 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Chabab Mohammédia's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat KAC Kenitra 4–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Yacoub El Mansour arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Yacoub El Mansour and 0.5 for Chabab Mohammédia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Yacoub El Mansour to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Yacoub El Mansour 1–0 Chabab Mohammédia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yacoub El Mansour66%fair 1.51 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
Chabab Mohammédia11%fair 9.00 · @5.00
2.19Expected goals
1.68Yacoub El Mansour xG
0.51Chabab Mohammédia xG
39%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–016%
0–011%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Yacoub El Mansour 1.7 – 0.5 Chabab Mohammédia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yacoub El Mansour to win✓
66%
1.51
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Yacoub El Mansour or draw✓
89%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Yacoub El Mansour ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yacoub El Mansour / FT Yacoub El Mansour✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.33
–
Form
Yacoub El Mansour – last 6
WDLWWW
5 Jul
@ FUS Rabat
1–0
W
2 Jul
vs Difaa EL Jadida
2–2
D
28 Jun
@ Maghreb Fès
1–2
L
25 Jun
vs Raja Casablanca
2–1
W
21 Jun
@ Olympique Safi
1–0
W
18 Jun
vs Hassania Agadir
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chabab Mohammédia – last 6
WLLDLD
5 Jul
vs KAC Kenitra
4–3
W
27 Jun
@ Raja Beni Mellal
0–2
L
20 Jun
vs Stade Marocain
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Widad Témara
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Chabab Atl. Khenifra
0–1
L
23 May
vs Riadi Salmi
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yacoub El Mansour and Chabab Mohammédia.
What is the prediction for Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia?
Our pick is Yacoub El Mansour to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia?
On our numbers Yacoub El Mansour have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chabab Mohammédia 11%.
How many goals will there be in Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia?
Our predicted score is Yacoub El Mansour 1–0 Chabab Mohammédia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia?
Yacoub El Mansour vs Chabab Mohammédia (Botola 2) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
